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Entries by Bishop Hill (6700)

Thursday
Jul032008

Tony Juniper is main cause of starvation - official!

Latest news from the Guardian:

Biofuels have forced global food prices up by 75% — far more than previously estimated — according to a confidential World Bank report obtained by the Guardian. The damning unpublished assessment is based on the most detailed analysis of the crisis so far, carried out by an internationally-respected economist at global financial body.

And as we all know, Friends of the Earth lobbied the government hard to get the biofuels obligation put in place. Environmentalism kills!

Thursday
Jul032008

Is gun control behind our loss of civil liberties?

This is a question that has been bouncing round in my head, probably for years. Maybe I've been visiting too many libertarian blogs. But then again, maybe there's something in it. We'll see.

A couple of things prompted me to write all this down. Firstly a line in Jan Morris's recent article about civil liberties on Comment is Free and secondly an article on gun control by an American campaigner called Dave Kopel.

Morris first.

Even the middle classes, once the very backbone of robust individualism, are not immune to the contagion. They all think twice about expressing their views in case they say something that is politically incorrect.

She might as well have been speaking about me, because the idea that gun control might be behind our loss of civil liberties is deeply, deeply politically incorrect. It's an idea which is likely to get one labelled as a "nutter". A couple of years ago, I couldn't have imagined holding this kind of belief. But perhaps things are changing, now the civil liberties debate is in full flow, and maybe it's time to try the idea out for size. We'll see.

Morris goes on the predict our eventual decline into submissiveness and eventually into totalitarianism.

A few more generations of nagging and surveillance and we shall have forgotten what true freedom is. Young people will have foregone the excitements of risk, academics will temper all thought with caution, and the great public will accept without demur all restrictions and requirements of the state. Ours will be a people moulded to docility, perfect fodder for ideologues.

And you can see it happening all around you as the surveillance state grows, and freedoms that we once took for granted are legislated into the history books. It really is time to make a stand.

And what about Dave Kopel? Kopel is a libertarian writer and researcher;  he was formerly professor of law at New York University and the [Update: an assistant] attorney general for the state of Colorado. Clearly then, he is a man of some intellectual stature. However he is also a prominent supporter of the right of the American public to carry firearms and his stand on this issue would surely lead a majority of people in this country to categorise him as a "gun-nut". I'm sure I am doing myself no favours by mentioning his ideas on this side of the Atlantic, but as I said, perhaps people might now be ready to consider a different view. We'll see.

Some weeks back, I came across an article Kopel co-wrote with another lawyer called All The Way Down The Slippery Slope: Gun prohibition in England and some lessons for civil liberties in America (link). Like Jan Morris, Kopel also sees Britain ceasing to care about civil liberties - he describes how a people can lose what he calls their "rights-conciousness". He then tries to explain this in terms of the history of gun control in the UK.

After tracing the history of gun ownership from its nineteenth century apogee to full prohibition today, Kopel sets out the effects of the ban on civil liberties in Part IX of the essay. Although his view is that gun prohibition in Britain was not behind the loss of civil liberty, he doesn think that it played an important part:

[A]ll civil liberties in Great Britain have suffered a perilous decline from their previous heights. The nation that once had the best civil liberties record in Western Europe now has one of the worst. The evisceration of the right to arms has not, of course, been the primary cause of the decline, although, as this Essay will discuss later, it has played a not inconsiderable role. More generally, the decline of all British civil liberties appears to stem from some of the same conditions that have afflicted the British right to arms. 

This section of the essay is worth reading just to feel the sense of incomprehension that Kopel has as he reels off the list of restrictions on their liberty that the British have allowed their rulers to inflict on them.

While Kopel makes a strong case against what is currently being called the salami slicing of civil liberties, his thesis that gun control hasn't been a primary cause is starting to seem to me to be wrong, at least for some of the civil liberties problems we face.

Take CCTV. Our city streets are, by common consent, violent, dirty unpleasant places for the most part. Only young strong men are likely to feel safe in many parts of the country, and then only if they are in a gang. As Justin Webb's recent article on violence in America made clear, American streets just aren't like this. 

Why is it then that so many Americans - and foreigners who come here - feel that the place is so, well, safe?

A British man I met in Colorado recently told me he used to live in Kent but he moved to the American state of New Jersey and will not go home because it is, as he put it, "a gentler environment for bringing the kids up."

This is New Jersey. Home of the Sopranos.

Brits arriving in New York, hoping to avoid being slaughtered on day one of their shopping mission to Manhattan are, by day two, beginning to wonder what all the fuss was about. By day three they have had had the scales lifted from their eyes.

I have met incredulous British tourists who have been shocked to the core by the peacefulness of the place, the lack of the violent undercurrent so ubiquitous in British cities, even British market towns.

"It seems so nice here," they quaver.

Well, it is! [...]

Ten or 20 years ago, it was a different story, but things have changed.

And this is Manhattan.

Wait till you get to London Texas, or Glasgow Montana, or Oxford Mississippi or Virgin Utah, for that matter, where every household is required by local ordinance to possess a gun.

Folks will have guns in all of these places and if you break into their homes they will probably kill you.

They will occasionally kill each other in anger or by mistake, but you never feel as unsafe as you can feel in south London.

It is a paradox. Along with the guns there is a tranquillity and civility about American life of which most British people can only dream.

Webb is clearly surprised by this, but he deserves praise for telling it as it is. To Americans it's probably less of a shock. beyond%20this%20horizon.jpgThe science fiction writer Robert A Heinlein was pointing out the connection between civility and arms as far back as 1942, when one of his characters opined that "an armed society is a polite society". And when you think about it, the paradox that Webb sees is only on the surface.  As soon as you realise that noone in their right mind would get aggressive with or be rude to someone carrying a gun, it all becomes painfully obvious.

So in America, an armed people has retained old-fashioned manners and old-fashioned civil liberties. This is the common law approach to public order that we used to have here. Civil society was responsible for law and order, and every member of the public was required (that's required, not advised) to intervene if they saw a crime being committed.  Perhaps partly because of that requirement people were able to carry arms for their defence. anarchists.jpgAn article from the Telegraph from a few years back tells the story of a group of Latvian anarchists who attempted a wages robbery in Tottenham. Their intended victims fought back and they were forced to flee, pursued across London by a posse of doughty citizens, both armed and unarmed, who eventually apprehended them. (The police had lost the key to their gun cupboard, and were unable to assist).

This is how it used to be. However it simply doesn't happen like this any more. In the twentieth century we took an entirely different approach to firearms, with the freedom to go armed being steadily eroded by means of successive small legislative and administrative steps - what is now called "salami slicing". First there was licencing and registration, and then tighter and tighter restrictions on who could have a gun, followed by tighter and tighter restrictions on what guns they could have, and how many, and how they had to store them. Eventually the populace was entirely disarmed, and now society can only fall back on the police for its defence. 

The first thing to notice about this process is that it has reduced the number of law enforcement officers on the streets to a tiny fraction of what it was. In the nineteenth century, as we've seen, every adult was responsible for upholding the law and preventing crime. Now we are, quite correctly, advised to leave all this to the police - obviously they are now the only ones with the wherewithal to come out alive from a brush with the criminal classes.

With such a devastating loss of policing manpower, there is now a fleetingly small chance of a law enforcement officer being on hand when a crime is committed. This in turn has meant that the former state of affairs, where  the law could intervene as a crime was committed or soon afterwards, has become impossible to pursue with conviction any longer. There is simply not the manpower to do so. With a horrible inevitability, the state has had to try to convince criminals not to commit crimes in ways other than presenting them with a risk of being caught in the act.

The traditional way of doing this was of course to make the punishments severe enough to discourage people, but with much of the middle classes persuaded that long prison sentences were illiberal, this approach too has suffered. Capital and corporal punishment have likewise fallen by the wayside, and because of the same erroneous presumption that such punishments were irreconcilable with liberalism.

cctv.jpgAs a result, the state has had to resort to methods used in places where the state doesn't have the confidence of the people. It has taken on all the powers of surveillance that we would associate with a police state - CCTV, DNA database, warrantless searches, fingerprinting children, ID cards, in a desperate bid to convince criminals that the risk of being caught is so high as to make the effort pointless.  But with prison sentences handed out so sparingly, and so regularly cut short by parole boards, the criminal classes are simply not convinced that the risks outweigh the rewards. They know where the CCTV cameras are and the crime wave simply shifts to somewhere less overlooked. 

Looked at this way the root cause of the wave of authoritarian legislation which threatens to swamp us is not authoritarianism so much as "woolly liberalism". We won't punish criminals adequately, so we get more criminals. We won't allow the law-abiding to uphold the law, so our streets get swamped with CCTV. Witnesses can't defend themselves guns, so we have to allow anonymous evidence in court. Women can't defend themselves from rapists, so they shouldn't go out alone. The opinionated can't defend themselves from retribution, so better to legislate them into silence.

We find ourselves between the horns of a dilemma. The idea of rearming the populace is greeted by most "right-thinking" members of the middle classes as evidence of a kind of madness, an idea to get you cast out from polite society. "We don't want to end up like America", they will say, as they check the locks on their doors and windows, and test the burglar alarm one more time.

But the alternative is to continue our increasingly precipitous slide down the slippery slope that ends up with the UK resembling North Korea. 

America or North Korea. You decide.


Thursday
Jul032008

Patient passports

Much excitement over at the Centre Right blog, where Simon Chapman says that the EU's decision to allow patients to seek medical treatment whereever they like and to reclaim their costs from the NHS is really just the Tories' old Patient Passport policy dressed up in new clothes.

He's probably right, but he's missing one rather important point. The NHS currently manages demand by means of rationing - which is to say they only provide as many services as they can afford to deliver. As use of the Patient Passport becomes widespread, the NHS will lose this ability to manage demand. If the NHS can't afford to deliver, patients will go overseas and reclaim their costs, so the NHS will end up paying anyway. Since demand for free healthcare is essentially limitless (everyone wanting to live forever), the whole system will go into meltdown.

So how then can we manage demand if patients can seek treatment whereever they like?

Roll on Singapore style healthcare accounts.

Thursday
Jul032008

Who says bloggers never do anything useful

OK so we've had the fake George Bush memo exposure, and the odd factual inaccuracy spotted, but this is quite a good one: a blogger in the US has found a factual error in a ruling of the Supreme Court. The justices' mistake is so important as to invalidate the whole ruling.

What do they do now, I wonder?

Wednesday
Jul022008

Basher for Liberty news 15

So here it is, the fifteenth round up of what's happening on the civil liberties front. Lots of people trying to attach their pet causes to the campaign, lots of jostling for party political advantage.

The debate

A trio of posts at Comment is Free: Guy Herbert makes the case for privacy as the basis of civil liberties, John Kampfner talks about Singapore style repression without ever seeming to condemn it, and Geoff Cahill tries to sell us on the alleged virtues of the RIPA Act (not an easy task).

And more today: Diane Abbott says hooray for freedom from arbitrary arrest but she'd like more money for black people. I refer the right honourable lady to the comments I made some moments ago about not conflating two different issues. 

Meanwhile Guy Damann says that liberty is nothing without compassion for others. I refer the right honourable gentleman to the comments I made some moments ago.

The campaign

David Cameron visited H&H to support Davis' campaign. Were his teeth gritted, we wonder?

Tory members don't support Davis' resignation, but seem to support his stance.

Council House Tory reckons the media are lettting the civil liberties issue drop.

The rest

Strong evidence that Keith Vaz's vote on 42 days was bought. Gordon Brown is still denying it.

Boulton & Co says that Vaz's claims that Sky didn't want a debate between the government and Davis because they would have had to give equal time to the other candidates is not true. In fact, Downing Street refused to put up a candidate.

Stephen Tall wonders how the LibDems can get a party political advantage from l'affaire DD.  You would have thought civil liberties would be the priority, wouldn't you?

Wednesday
Jul022008

Energy inefficiency

Fascinating article (via the ASI) which shows how cack-handed regulation has prevented any improvement in the efficiency of energy generation since the 1950s.
Tuesday
Jul012008

Basher for Liberty news 14

The debate

Labour has reversed the burden of proof for some cases. This can lead innocent parties to potential ruin.

Anonymous witnesses at the de Menezes inquiry.

Jill Saward, the rape victim who is opposing DD in the by-election on a pro-CCTV and DNA database ticket writes in the Guardian. The reception is not exactly welcoming. David T, writing at Harry's Place, makes the case for the authoritarian left. He reckons he'd vote for Saward and says a DNA database is a minor infringement of privacy. UK Liberty blog and Longrider take the opposite view.

Mick Fealty writing at the Telegraph is a Davis fan.

Dizzy Thinks that monitoring of abnormal behaviour at railway stations is a can of worms.

Our liberties are in a mess. Anthony Barnett reckons he knows what to do.

Apparently there were nine arrests of NO2ID protestors in Edinburgh. There may be film of what went on which may open a whole new can of worms.


Tuesday
Jul012008

Our glorious NHS

Dr Crippen reports that he is turning away children who need routine immunisations because our glorious National Heath Hazard isn't distributing the vaccines.

Update:

It was the same story a few years back too. All that money spent for no discernable benefit.

Monday
Jun302008

Brainwashing in schools

While doing a Google search, I chanced upon this site, which belongs to the Geography department at Bishop Challoner School. The school is independent, so it's up to them what they teach, but my goodness, if this is the standard of thinking they develop in their children, they wouldn't get a penny of my money.

Homework for 29/1/07 ...Produce a powerpoint presentation on what Bromley Council is doing to try and be sustainable. [...]

What must be included:

The reason why sustainability is required in Bromley.

Why we should recycle.

[...]

Not if we should recycle, or when we should recycle, but why we should recycle. The person who wrote this is clearly intellectually challenged. Do they really believe that it is always best to recycle? No matter what level of resources is required? Who would want their children taught by someone who believed such nonsense?

If you scroll down a little more you come to this:

Create a poster on Global Warming based on the movie inconvenient truth. 

(Dodgy capitalisation in original)

Or how about this:

The greatest wonder of the sea is that it's still alive.

(That's from a Greenpeace poster which is being used as a teaching aid, it seems)

I remember James Bartholemew saying that he was taking his daughter out of school because the independents were becoming infected with the shoddy standards of the state sector. It looks to me as if he was right - if I were a Bishop Challoner parent, I'd be asking for a refund.

Sunday
Jun292008

Basher for Liberty news 13

The debate

The Libertarian Party blog tells us that the EU is shortly to start passing our details on to the authorities in the USA, including credit card transactions, internet browsing habits and travel histories. I wasn't aware that the authorities had access to these details in the first place.

An interview between an American lefty called Jane Hamsher and US Libertarian party presidential candidate Bob Barr. Some discussion of the parallels between the UK situation and the US from about ten minutes in.

Clampdowns on peaceful dissent continue apace. Three members of NO2ID were arrested "on suspicion of breaching the peace" as the protested outside the alleged consultation on the ID card scheme in Edinburgh.

Anthony Barnett writes about DD and freedom at Comment is Free.  Meanwhile Martin Kettle says the state has interests which are not necessarily compatible with freedom, but that it's still "a necessary good".  This is what is known as "woolly liberalism", IMHO.

Tittle tattle

Sky have apparently cancelled a planned debate between DD and a member of the government because of fears that broadcasting rules would mean that equal time would have to be given to the 24 other candidates standing in H&H. This sounds like an opportunity for some enterprising person to do a webcast. In the same article it is reported that Gordon Brown says that David Cameron has ample opportunity to discuss civil liberties at PMQs. David Davis has shot back though.

Sunday
Jun292008

Basher for Liberty news 12

 Plenty of interesting comment on the civil liberties front over the weekend. Here's some of the best.

The debate

Liberal England tells the story of how we came to be under nearly constant surveillance.

Brian Micklethwait takes David Davis to task over demand for better CCTV cameras. 

Marina Hyde wonders why we were never asked for our opinions on becoming a surveillance state.

The Adam Smith Institute has pertinent quote from Woodrow Wilson.

Tony Benn covers ID cards and 42 days in an article for the Telegraph. He also rolls in the Lisbon Treaty, which, while I agree with his stance, risks conflating two separate issues.

Henry Porter looks to the Conservative party for support for Davis.

Helienne Lindvall describes how the Swedish ID card has been used to harass people with inconvenient political views.

The Devil's Kitchen thinks that a UK ID card will make it much harder for young women to flee arranged marriages.

Tittle tattle

The Independent reports that the PR firm Davis is using also work for security companies involved in ID cards. So?

Sunday
Jun292008

Climate cuttings 16

Well, the enthusiasm has lasted through another week, so here it is: the latest installment of Climate Cuttings, in which I round up recent developments on the climate science front.

First up is The Englishman, who wonders why UEA's Climate Research Unit hasn't published any of its indicators of climate change since 2000. Perhaps because the temperature's not going up?

Lucia Liljegren has been comparing the temperature records to the last IPCC forecast of temperatures rising at 2oC per century. She has been able to reject the 2oC/century hypothesis with a high degree of confidence, but points out that this doesn't mean temperatures aren't going to start rising again.

stern.jpegSir Nicholas Stern, of Stern Report fame, turns out to be coining it on the back of his climate scaremongering, launching a carbon credits rating agency. Of course, if it were Exxon doing this they'd be accused on being unreliable. Stern will just laugh all the way to the bank.

Climate Audit's work on discovering whether NASA's shambolic computer code does what it is supposed to continues. Steve McIntyre has discovered that NASA are monitoring the work, despite the fact that they refuse to mention or even discuss Climate Audit. Perhaps they want to learn how code is written these days.

Like the first swallow of summer, the annual "ice-free North Pole" story arrived. This time it's the Independent doing the honours, with Science Editor, Steve Connor blissfully unaware that the New York Times was forced to retract an identical story in 2000 when it was pointed out to them that it isn't even unusual for there to be no ice at the Pole. Real Climate weighed in too and said that this time there were going to be "large expanses" of open water. Still no mention of the growing sea ice in the Antarctic.einstein.jpg

Volcanoes were discovered under the Arctic ice (shouldn't they be able to see them now all the ice is gone?). Sceptics wondered if this might explain some of the ice melt.

 The Surface Stations project, to survey all 1221 stations used as input to the global temperature figure, has now reached over 40% of the network. One preliminary analysis of the data suggests that the best sited stations show a much lower rise in temperature than the worst.

Anthony Watts, the man behind SurfaceStations, has also been keeping an eye on the sun. There has been a complete absence of sunspots since April 13th. In the past, this sort of sunspot pause has presaged a 1-2oC drop in global temperatures.

Professor Aynsley Kellow writes about the great failures of environmental science - how green scientists treat mathematical models as scientific truth and manipulate real world data to fit the models. Anyone who has followed the climate debate will recognise this pattern. There's also an amusing potshot at Nature for editorialising in support of some "scientists" who faked evidence. 

(Updated to fix the Kellow link)

Saturday
Jun282008

A proud moment

I think I've just had a comment deleted for the first time!

I have a policy of always being polite when visiting other people's blogs, particularly if I'm disagreeing with somebody. Todays deletions were not one of those occasions though. What is odd is that I didn't even think that I was being particularly probing or contrary.

The culprit was (and it will probably surprise few of my readers to learn this) Real Climate, a site with a certain reputation for deleting inconvenient comments. My comments were in response to a posting by Gavin Schmidt about ice (or lack of it) at the North Pole in which he said that the situation being observed at present was different to previous instances.

What is being discussed here is large expanses of almost completely ice-free water. That would indeed be unprecedented since we've been tracking it.

My comment merely asked what he meant by "large". The comment sat in moderation for twelve hours or so, and is now gone completely. I can only assume that it has been deleted.

Another commenter posted a comment about "denialists" arguing that volcanic activity might have contributed to Arctic ice melt. He said:

The mean global sunlight absorbed by the climate system is about 237 watts per square meter.
The mean global geothermal flux is about 0.087 watts per square meter.
Divide A by B. Discuss.

To which I pointed out that the mean geothermal flux couldn't be a relevant measure.  That comment has gone too though.

It's a strange feeling of pride one gets when a scientific bigwig reckons that your arguments are probing enough to warrant summary deletion. A feather in my cap, I would say.

Update: I'm wrong. It has now appeared. Why it should appear to be in moderation and then disappear completely before reappearing again is beyond me.

Saturday
Jun282008

The illiberality of the liberals

David Bernstein has an interesting article up at Cato about how American liberals (that's lefties to you and me) are consistently illiberal.
Friday
Jun272008

Basher for Liberty news 11

The campaign

Basher launched his manifesto which includes a list of ten civil liberties we need to restore.

The debate

Nicholas Watt interviews DD in the Guardian. Davis reveals that he was on an IRA hit list, which makes his demands for civil liberties despite the treat of terrorism all the more convincing.

David Pannick QC points out that Jack Straw is talking nonsense when he says that there is a balance to be struck between the right to confront one's accusers and witness protection.

Spy Blog wonders if the arrest of journalist Tony Gosling was a "fishing trip" by police.

Has a Belfast blogger been arrested for criticising public figures?

The English Democrats, campaigning in Henley, were told to remove their St George's cross flags.

Sparring partners

The libertarian right looks to be putting a candidate up.  Former Tory MP and Freedom Association member Walter Sweeney is being tipped to put his name forward.