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Lord Beaverbrook

Thanks for the dashboard! Hours of fun!

On ENSO "peaking now". If the Darwin and Tahiti weather forecasts are correct then SOI is going to bomb, serious low forecast around Tahiti. Maybe then we find out how much "fuel" is in the tank? I suspect not much. I think it might be quite a plus to have 2015 declared an El Nino year!

Dec 21, 2014 at 1:57 PM | Registered CommenterGreen Sand

Getting warmer on explaining, but still paying a high price

" Politicians were more concerned about boarding a plane without buying carbon offsets than about security of supply

It is a quite startling fact that when I became chief executive of Centrica eight-and-a-half years ago there was no government department for energy and no cabinet minister to go with it. Responsibility for energy rested alongside business and enterprise within another ministry, until the Department of Energy and Climate Change was created in 2008, with Ed Miliband at the helm..........

.......Affordability remains the immediate priority. While still recognising the need to tackle climate change, it has become an increasingly divisive issue and one that offers no short-term wins to politicians facing an election in a few months. Security of supply tended to come a poor third. But that’s changing.........

........ On the flip side, while today’s lower oil and gas prices will give a welcome boost to disposable incomes, they will also mean that consumers are paying a higher premium than expected to fund low carbon technologies........"

Well worth a read

Dec 21, 2014 at 1:36 PM | Registered CommenterGreen Sand


This is very atypical for an ENSO event and further highlights that this event is weak and may actually be peaking now.

That's sure to upset some!
Some interesting weather expected in January and the Sun is only heading in one direction.

Dec 21, 2014 at 1:32 PM | Registered CommenterLord Beaverbrook

In the Business section of today's Torygraph there is a article entitled:-

"Futuristic Forecasts Films Inspire Met Office Designs"

First paragraph:-

Plans to build a new 140-tonne Met Office supercomputer inspired by Hollywood science fiction films have been given the go-ahead.

Yup, about right!

No link, does not appear on the relevant web page

Dec 21, 2014 at 1:04 PM | Registered CommenterGreen Sand

Michael Hart

...Greenpeace is dragging its heels in response to the Peruvian government's demands...

Not bein funny but there plenty of Nascar tracks already.

Dec 21, 2014 at 12:18 PM | Unregistered CommenterAlan Reed

Lord Beaverbrook

O dear, an IPCC Lead Author! No real surprise then.

Talking of surprises you might want to keep a "weather eye" on Arctic Oscillation Analysis and Forecasts

It is penned by Judah Cohen usually updated about once a week. He seems to think Jan might be a tad chilly.

Dec 21, 2014 at 12:00 PM | Registered CommenterGreen Sand

BBC supports gas generation over solar IN A SUNNY COUNTRY !
- They seem quite excited about the 1.5 MW container based generators for Myanmar
.... yet if there is anywhere UK solar PV belong it's not on our cloudy roofs but at the location of non grid connected villagers in rather in sunny countries.
- Here is The Far East the level of consumption is mega high, the lights burn brightly and there is not a domestic solar panel in sight amywhere ..just talk of some government greenwash projects here in Taiwan .. (I stopped off in Thailand for 10 days on the way here)

Dec 21, 2014 at 10:58 AM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Conspiring in plain view to draw the curtains, put up the shutters, and generally secure themselves from legal actions and even 'outside examination', the Global Climate Fund (with $10 billion to play with) has set up in South Korea since that country has agreed to their secrecy and immunity demands. Climate Science has a post drawing attention to this report on Fox News. Extract:

If the GCF succeeds in its broader negotiations, not only billions but eventually trillions of dollars in climate funding activities could fall outside the scope of criminal and civilian legal actions, as well as outside examination, as the Fund, which currently holds $10 billion in funding and pledges, expands its ambitions.

The shield would cover all documentation as well as the words and actions of officials and consultants involved in the activity documentation—even after they move on to other jobs. As a tasty side-benefit, the “privileges” attached to such “privileges and immunities,” as they are known in diplomatic parlance, mean that employees get their salaries tax-free.

Why are they bothering? Well, they want to interfere in other people's lives on a big scale, and that can go wrong. The article concludes with this example:

U.N. peacekeepers from Nepal are almost universally believed to have introduced cholera in October 2010 to the earthquake shattered nation that had not seen the disease in a century. About 700,000 cases and 8, 560 deaths have been reported since then.

After denying U.N. involvement in the epidemic for many months, U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon invoked U.N. diplomatic immunities in rejecting lawsuits brought against the world organization by relatives of the victims. Lawsuits in U.S. courts are still ongoing, but the State Department has supported the U.N.’s blanket immunity status.

“As we are seeing in the wake of the Haiti cholera epidemic, once we have agreed on privileges and immunities to any mission, they offer an extreme amount of protection to activities that could affect populations badly,” notes Brett Schaefer, an expert on the U.N. at the conservative Heritage Foundation in Washington. ‘’They should be awarded only in circumstances where they are truly necessary and critical to the mission or fulfillment of the mandate of the organization.”

“That is not the case,” he added, “with the GCF"—a position that the Fund is working as hard as it can to overcome.

Dec 21, 2014 at 10:39 AM | Registered CommenterJohn Shade

Robert Christopher - thanks for the link to the Booker piece - he hits the nail on the head as usual.

Some good comments also, but also some from the doom-mongers which are quite astonishing, e.g. this from Icarus62:

Icarus62 venmex • 2 minutes ago
Sea level was 120 metres lower during the last glacial maximum, with global temperature about 5°C lower than today. It's a pretty straightforward calculation that 1°C of warming represents somewhere around 20 metres of sea level rise.

Dec 21, 2014 at 10:39 AM | Registered Commenterlapogus

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