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The extraordinary attempts to prevent sceptics being heard at the Institute of Physics
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Entries in Climate: CA (12)

Tuesday
Mar172015

Hot news, evolution cools - Josh 318

Steve McIntyre has the scoop:

According to the University of Victoria, Andrew Weaver says:

the next generation of his climate model will address the influence of climate on human evolution—much like it’s now being used to examine the influence of humans on climate evolution”.   

In breaking news, Climate Audit has obtained exclusive information on output from the first runs of Weaver’s “next generation” climate model. These are the first known climate model predictions of the future of human evolution. The results are worrying: take a look.

Click image for a larger version

Cartoons by Josh

PS Idea H/t Steve ;-)

Wednesday
Jan222014

Ship ahoy

Steve McIntyre has a couple of amusing posts looking at the holes appearing in the story of Ship of Fools team leader Chris Turney and those that may soon be appearing in the bank balance of the University of New South Wales.

If Turney really has cost the University as much money as McIntyre suggests may be the case then one wonders what repercussions there will be. None?

Sunday
Jan062013

Must-reads

A couple of posts that I simply must point out to readers. Firstly, Steve M is back in the saddle at Climate Audit, reviewing his recent visit to the AGU and making some disturbing revelations about the AGU's welcoming back of Peter Gleick into the fold.

Gleick’s welcome back to AGU prominence – without serving even the equivalent of a game’s suspension – was pretty startling, given his admitted identity fraud and distribution (and probable fabrication) of a forged document. Last year, then AGU President Mike McPhadren, a colleague of Eric Steig’s at the University of Washington, had stated on behalf of AGU that Gleick had “compromised AGU’s credibility as a scientific society” and that his “transgression cannot be condoned”. McPhadren stated that AGU‘s “guiding core value” was “excellence and integrity in everything we do” – values that would seem to be inconsistent with identity fraud and distribution and/or fabrication of forged documents, even by the relaxed standards of academic institutions.

Meanwhile, Tallbloke and his readers have uncovered a downwards revision in the Met Office's temperature projections. It's interesting to wonder why a statistically insignificant rainfall trend was worthy of a Met Office press release while a major reining back on the projections wasn't.

 

Sunday
Oct172010

Canadian poll closes

The poll for best Science and Technology blog poll in Canada, which I mentioned in the Climate Cuttings post, seems to have closed, apparently prematurely.

I wonder why?

Update: No this was apparently expected.

Wednesday
Jun302010

Fred on Foster and deFreitas

Fred Pearce in New Scientist looks at some recent developments in the ongoing battle between Tamino and the Hockey Team on the one side and sceptics deFreitas and McLean on the other. Judy Curry gets quoted.

Sunday
Apr182010

McKie makes fool of himself

With George Monbiot backing out of Climategate reporting in disgust, the reins at the Guardian seem to have been handed over to Robin McKie, the science editor, who weighs in today with an amusing piece entitled "Doubt climate change - just don't deny it".

Click to read more ...

Wednesday
Feb172010

Mosher in PJs

Steve Mosher, the man who broke the CRU emails story and author of Climategate: The CRUtape Letters, is interviewed on PJTV. Some interesting thoughts on what it means and why the US press has largely ignored it.

Friday
Dec112009

And so it begins

McIntyre has posted his first analysis of some of the emails. It's not looking good for the Hockey Team, with their scheming to remove the divergence problem and "hide the decline" from the IPCC reports laid out in horrifying detail.

There are going to be months of revelations like this.

 

Thursday
Aug142008

And still they come

Well, two days on and the visitor numbers are still heading upwards. I've been enjoying seeing how people are reacting, and mostly it's been very positive. There have been visitors from all parts of the world, with a current surge from Australia, where the story has been picked up by Andrew Bolt of the Courier Mail Herald Sun, which is the first MSM link for the story. I also note with amusement that people are discussing my article in a bondage forum - when you're bored with talking dirty you can always have a chat about statistics, I suppose.

One interesting reaction was from Professor Barry Brook, the biologist who heads the Research Institute for Climate Change and Sustainability at the University of Adelaide. Prof Brook responded to a commenter who had pointed him at my hockey stick article saying:

[T]here’s really no need, as this hoary old chestnut has already been gathered, roasted and eaten. If the folks at Climate Audit choose not to keep up to date, or to ignore any refutation, that’s their limitation.

Which is peculiar because if you follow those links, the scientific argument presented is all about principal components analysis (how the temperature reconstruction was extracted from the tree rings) which is something that I didn't mention at all in my article. The scientific part of my posting was about verification using the RE statistic (how well did the temperature reconstruction they extracted matched up against known temperatures in the past) , and isn't mentioned in any of Professor Brook's "refutations". I've asked him to explain, and also to give us the benefit of his opinions of Wahl and Amman's benchmarking procedures. It will be interesting to hear what he has to say.

If you are interested in the earlier story of the creation of the hockey stick, there's a popular science article here (h/t Steve McIntyre) which covers this earlier tale. It's just as scandalous, but equally mathematical.

Another interesting discussion has been the Prometheus blog where Roger Pielke Jnr discusses the "corruption of science" angle.

 

Friday
Dec282007

Why won't Nature link to Climate Audit?

Some time ago I wrote a piece in which I questioned the wisdom of Nature's approach to blogging, and in particular to the way their climate science site, Nature Climate Feedback, seemed to be turning into something of an advocacy site. I questioned the commercial wisdom of being seen to side so publicly in one side of a politicised debate.

The article picked up a lot of traffic from an internal blog within the Nature organisation, but my impression has been that there has been little change in the way Climate Feedback operates in the six months since I attempted to highlight the problem.

Today, I'm going to point to a further example of how Nature has set its stall out as an environmentalist advocacy site - who do they link to? Apart from a list of official sites, Climate Feedback has a standard blogroll which I reproduce below:

Most readers of this site will know many of these blogs. Anyone who follows the global warming debate will be aware of Real Climate. Some may even be aware that it seems to be linked with green advocacy groups. But it is unarguably written by climate scientists, so there can be no reasonable objection to its inclusion.

The Heat is Online, however, is the webpage of Ross Gelbspan, whose Wikipedia entry refers to him as an author and activist. A Few Things Ill Considered is a "Layman's take on the science of global warming" and features "a guide on how to speak to a climate skeptic". Gristmill is part of an environmentalist publishing organisation. Clearly then, Nature Climate Feedback has no issue in linking to people whose only role in the global warming debate is one of advocacy. They also don't think that their blogroll should be restricted to qualified climate scientists. In fact, they seem quite happy to link to people who are not scientists at all.

How then can we explain the failure to link to any sites which might be considered somewhat sceptical of the AGW (alleged) consensus? Roger Pielke for example, or Climate Audit?

Steve McIntyre's Climate Audit is the only site which can rival Real Climate for traffic, and it is streets ahead on the quality of the scientific discussion. It also has a very good standard of comments from a range of highly-qualified visitors. Here is a (non-exhaustive) list of people who I have been able to identify as people with relevant qualifications who have contributed to the CA conversation:

  • John Christy, U Alabama Huntsville
  • Eduardo Zorita
  • Roger Pielke Snr, U Colorado
  • Rob Wilson, U St Andrews
  • "Eli Rabett" (Prof Joshua Halpern)
  • David E Black
  • Dr. Anthony Lupo, Professor of Atmospheric Science, University of Missouri-Columbia
  • Tim Ball
  • Yang Bao
  • Lubos Motls
  • Louis Scuderi (Assoc Prof, Univ New Mexico)
  • Martin Juckes, British Atmospheric Data Centre
  • Keith McGuinness, Ecologist Charles Darwin U, Australia
  • Sinan Unur, economist Cornell U
  • Ross McKitrick economist U Guelph
  • Isaac Held, NOAA
  • Peter Webster, Professor, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Tech
  • Judith Curry, Georgia Institute of Technology
  • Staffan Lindstrom, Lunds University
  • Sonia Boehmer-Christiansen, U Hull
  • James Elsner, Florida State University
  • Richard Telford, University of Bergen
  • Demetris Koutsouyannis, U Athens
  • Ian Castles, Asia School of Economics and Government, Australian National University, Canberra
  • David Pannell, Professor, School of Agricultural and Resource Economics , U Western Australia
  • Paul Dennis, UEA
  • David Wratt, NIWA
  • Gerald North, U Wisconsin and chairman of the NAS panel on the "Hockey Stick"
  • and lastly Prof Bjorn Malmgren, Goteborgs U, who left the following comment:
By the way, I am an avid reader of Climate Audit, so from me you receive a proper response. In fact, I download the articles to my cell phone and read them with great interest every day. Many thanks for so relentlessly contributing these articles to Climate Audit.

Whichever way you look at it, there is every shade of opinion in the list, from the firm skepticism of say, Tim Ball, to the out and out enviropmentalism of Martin Juckes (who allegedly manages to combine dispassionate climate science research with his campaigning for the Green party). Climate Audit is indisputably the place where people go to have free debate on climate science. And in passing, we can compare this unfavourably with Real Climate, where the "canon" is recited to those willing to listen and straw men are cast down to the applause of the assembled faithful.

It's therefore pretty hard to explain Climate Feedback's failure to link to Climate Audit, until you look at who they do link to, at which point you wonder if Nature, once powerhouse in the advancement of scientific knowledge, is now just a rather insignificant part of the worldwide green advocacy industry. How the mighty are fallen.  

Thursday
Nov082007

Get voting

Just a reminder to get your votes in for Climate Audit at the Weblogs award. CA is just ahead now.

Get voting, here

Saturday
Apr282007

How to create global warming

Climate Audit takes a look at some of the Australian weather station data that has been used by several authors to support the case for anthropogenic global warming.

He shows, rather successfully, that if you adjust the data at the start of the series - the 19th century- downwards, you can create a warming trend out of nothing! A set of data with no clear trend....

 

moreto19.gif 

is magically transformed into this....

moreto21.gif 

And if this isn't to your taste, it's possible to produce the same effect by careful choice of your start and end point.

Mind you, the authors have excellent reasons for tweaking the numbers:

For example, cows and goats have been known to mill around the instruments at country stations, and in one case an eagle destroyed a Stevenson screen by flying into the side of it. A dingo once stole a thermometer which had been read following the slaughter of farm animals (the observer was advised to wash his hands in future), and crows also like to make off with these shiny objects. An irate wife, tired of being woken every morning as her husband made the 3am observations, took to the valuable screen with an axe, turning it into a pile of firewood. 

Amazing. 

It is startling to think that we are making multi-trillion dollar decisions on the back of science of this "quality". Do you think anyone will notice?