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Thursday
May082008

Second generation biofuels won't work either

Economist Indur Goklany, writing at the Cato Institute site, takes a long hard look at second generation biofuels - so-called cellulosic ethanol, which is going to replace fossil fuels without any of the unpleasant side effects (like mass starvation) associated with corn-based ethanol.

Farmers will do what they’ve always done: they’ll produce the necessary biomass that would be converted to ethanol more efficiently. In fact, they’ll start cultivating the cellulose as a crop (or crops). They have had 10,000 years of practice perfecting their techniques. They’ll use their usual bag of tricks to enhance the yields of the biomass in question: they’ll divert land and water to grow these brand new crops. They’ll fertilize with nitrogen and use pesticides. The Monsantos of the world — or their competitors, the start-ups — will develop new and genetically modified but improved seeds that will increase the farmer’s productivity and profits. And if cellulosic ethanol proves to be as profitable as its backers hope, farmers will divert even more land and water to producing the cellulose instead of food. All this means we’ll be more or less back to where we were. Food will once again be competing with fuel. And land and water will be diverted from the rest of nature to meet the human demand for fuel.

A bet you a large pint of the foaming stuff that this argument will be entirely ignored until the point that people start dying again. 

Wednesday
May072008

They really don't get it

A few days ago I wondered about whether the Labour party understood why they were so unpopular and made light of some of the Fabians' ideas for putting things right.

Now, there's a new set of ideas being bandied about over at Liberal Conspiracy, which are, to say the least, no improvement on the last lot.

When your job, household income, housing costs are inherently unstable you then need active and interventionist government to counter-balance wider and unpredictable economic forces.

Richards argued the fact that Northern Rock has been nationalised without obvious political cost demonstrates how the mood has changed. He’s right and there is a discussion to be had about the appropriate level of regulation of financial markets and the need for consideration of how we can create more proactive financial watchmen.

As someone pointed out in the comments, the three hundred-odd councillors the Labour party lost the other day suggest strongly that there was, in fact, a ginormous political price paid for the Northern Rock fiasco. And more regulation? Get real man! How many major multinationals have hinted that they're going to leave the country in the last couple of weeks?

Aberdeen Asset Management, WPP, United Business Media, Shire?

You can lead a horse to water, and all that...     

Tuesday
May062008

Tory dynasty

Apropos of my earlier comments on the Labour party's new found love for inherited privilege, it's also worth pointing out that the Tories are wondering whether to start a new political dynasty too although, perhaps unsurprisingly, they're going to do it in reverse.

Speaking to Cambridge University Conservatives tonight, Boris Johnson's father Stanley confirmed that he would put his name forward to succeed his son in Henley.

In the interests of party political balance, I should probably stick the boot in for this one too, but dynasties are rather the point of the Tories, aren't they?

Monday
May052008

An argument, by Carolyn Fry

  • Imported flowers have large carbon footprints.
  • So don't buy imported flowers.
  • But wait! Africans depend on the flower trade! They'll starve!
  • The flower trade uses toxic chemicals too.
  • Oh! We can probably do without the Africans in that case.
(From the Guardian, a couple of weeks back.)

 

Monday
May052008

Green investors

Greenies are being offered the opportunity to put their money where their not inconsiderable mouths are:

Ethical bank Triodos is offering people the chance to become shareholders in Triodos Renewables, a public limited company which came into being 13 years ago as the Wind Fund. This is its fourth share issue - the last was in 2005.

Triodos Renewables invests mainly in small and medium-sized wind farms, hydroelectric schemes and emerging renewable energy technology companies in the UK. It owns and operates two wind farms, Caton Moor in Lancashire and Haverigg II in Cumbria, and two single turbines, Gulliver in Lowestoft, Suffolk, (recently out of action for a few months following lightning strikes) and Sigurd in the Orkney Islands. It also owns the Beochlich hydroelectric project in Argyll, Scotland, and it has a stake in Marine Current Turbines, a tidal energy company whose first commercial turbine will begin operating off the coast of Northern Ireland later this year, and is a partner in Connective Energy, which is developing ways to capture and re-use waste heat from industry.

I'm all for people investing in things in which they believe. The problem is that this is not really an investment in green energy so much as an investment in the chance to win a share of some government subsidies.   

(Via The Graun

Monday
May052008

It was the biofuels wot done it

There's a rather important article over at EU Referendum this morning. Richard North highlights a recent FAO report, which shows that changing diet in China and India has not affected their share of the global grain harvest. This puts the kaibosh on the argument that demand for meat production has sucked in huge quantities of grain. The change has in fact largely come from the USA, where production has been shifted massively over to biofuels.

Read the whole thing

Sunday
May042008

Political dynasties

Is it just me, or are Labour starting to make a habit of forming political dynasties?

GWYNETH Dunwoody's daughter, Tamsin, has been chosen by the Labour Party as its candidate to be Crewe and Nantwich's next MP.

She will now fight the May 22 by-election to try and take the seat her mother held for the last 34 years.

An intensive two-day selection process ended with Tamsin Dunwoody being chosen by the local Labour group at Pebble Brook School tonight.

About 60 applications were made for the candidacy and they were then narrowed down to a manageable shortlist of five with Tamsin Dunwoody emerging as a comfortable winner.

More detail comes from Adam Boulton's blog:

Both Gwyneth's grandmothers were suffragettes. Her father, Morgan Phillips, was Labour Party general secretary (in the days before people turned the job down, Gordon). And her mother was a Government minister in the House of Lords.

So the Dunwoody dynasty looks as though it's as old as the Labour movement itself, and is set to continue for at least another generation. 

I'd be inclined to believe that this was all a coincidence if it wasn't for the equal longevity of the Benn dynasty - Wedgie's granddaughter could be set to follow his son Hilary into parliament, having been chosen to stand at PPC in Worthing at the tender age of seventeen. If successful, she would be the fifth generation of her family to sit at Westminster.

I'm sure Tamsin Dunwoody and Emily Benn are outstanding individuals who would shine in any assembly that would have them, but are we really to believe that the five generations of Benns and four of Dunwoodys all got (or will get) to Parliament on merit? Statistically speaking, I would have thought that the possibility of this happening by chance was fleetingly small.

Update:

Iain Dale notices that the citizens of Crewe are not amused. 

Saturday
May032008

Why did Labour lose?

So, Labour lost big time and the Tories won. But as Glenn Reynolds says, it's hard to see how much actual change the Tories will bring about. If the party won't let you know what their policies are then how can you?

Meanwhile, Labour are wondering what went wrong and the Tories are wondering what they got right. The feeling in the pub last night was that this was a vote against Labour far more than it was a vote for the Tories, so the Labour post-mortem is rather more interesting. Sunder Katwala, who, if memory serves me correctly runs the Fabian Society, sets out all the things that he thinks are going to win voters back in an article on LabourHome.

"Then make a fairer Britain the defining mission: take risks for the cause of child poverty; make clear what climate change demands of us all; go for electoral reform and a written constitution. If not now, when?"

This is, not to put to fine a point on it, bizarre. Other-worldly. Does he really think that people voted Tory because he though that Labour had done badly on child poverty? That they want to pay more carbon taxes? That they are, in fact, aching for electoral reform, and were raging all the way to the ballot box to express their fervent love of written constitutions?

Some people in the Labour party think so.   

Thursday
May012008

Global warming to stop

As the global warming fraternity seeks to explain away the lack of any actual observable warming, they've come up with a whole new explanation - that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation will wipe out any warming for the next few decades. Even the most observant followers of the climate debate will have failed to notice anyone mentioning that the AMO might have been boosting temperatures in recent decades. And neither will they have seen any inkling of this fall in temperatures being predicted by the IPCC.

Which brings us on to this quote from the climatologist Roger Pielke Snr (via CCNet):

If global cooling over the next few decades is consistent with model predictions, then so too is pretty much anything and everything under the sun. This means that from a practical standpoint climate models are of no practical use beyond providing some intellectual authority in the promotional battle over global climate policy.

Looks like all the IPCC projections may just be bunk. 

 

Wednesday
Apr302008

Fringe science

An "academic" called Tom Wakeford is given space in the Guardian today to sound off about the food crisis. This being the Guardian, Dr Wakeford is, of course, quite howling mad and seizes his opportunity to prove it in spectacular fashion.

Dr Wakeford is "Director of Co-Inquiry of PEALS" which, for the unenlightened, stands for Policy, Ethics And Life Sciences. It appears to be a research institution of some kind, although quite what it is for and what, if anything, its staff do is not entirely clear from its website. My guess would be that it keeps a few eggheads off the dole queue.

Dr W is also director of the Durham-Newcastle Beacon for Public Engagement, which is

a major new initiative to make universities more welcoming and accessible, and to deepen the social impact and relevance of their work. 

If it's social impact you're after, I'd recommend doing something that people actually want. While I'm sure that Dr Wakeford's Prajateerpu, power and knowledge: The politics of participatory action research in development. Part 2. Analysis, reflections and implications is a profound publication, and probably a page-turner to boot, I'm not sure it's actually providing something that is ever going to have much social impact. Regrettably, we'll probably never know, as the link Dr W provides to the article is now pointing at a dead web domain. This does kind of prove my point though.

Anyway, enough of the good doctor himself, what about his ideas for saving the world? Well, first up, biotechnology is a no-no. According to our man, an international body called the IAASTD have recently said that

data on some GM crops indicate highly variable yield gains in some places and declines in others.

Now he's actually been a naughty boy and "improved" the quote slightly for public consumption. The actual report is here:

For example, data based on some years and some GM crops indicate highly variable 10-33% yield gains in some places and yield declines in others. 

Which doesn't give quite the same impression, does it? Some years, and some crops aren't too good. Sounds like ordinary crops to me. Regardless, he would seem to want us to believe that farmers are moving over to GM all round the world, in the face of uncertain or even falling yields, which when you think about it, is rather amazing. Unfortunately he doesn't tell us why he believes something so unlikely.

He goes on to quote a charity's comments on the same report. According to Dr W, Practical Action (for whom he has written articles in the past) says:

 [T]he report rightly concludes that small-scale farmers and ecological methods provide the way forward to avert the current food crisis.

And again, this is odd, because I can't find anything like this in the report itself. In the part about food security, the IAASTD says this: 

Policy options for addressing food security include developing high-value and under-utilized crops in rain fed areas; increasing the full range of agricultural exports and imports, including organic and fair trade products; reducing transaction costs for small-scale producers; strengthening local markets; food safety nets; promoting agro-insurance; and improving food safety and quality. 

Which is nothing like what Dr W says it says. Perhaps this is a case of Chinese whispers? Even then, if Dr W believes that small-scale farms and organic produce is going to feed the world (and perhaps fuel it too) then it's another startling argument to make; one that would seem to put Dr W well and truly in the category of "swivel-eyed lunatic".

But let's return to Dr W's arguments. He sets about giving a good slapping to anyone who might disagree with him. Arguments that GM crops will feed the world are "preposterous", apparently. (Having read his earlier comments, one can't help but get the feeling that when a madman tells you your ideas are crazy, you're probably on the right track.) A few figures to back his case up might have convinced some of the naysayers, but hey, I'm just a humble blogger and Dr W represents the full academic majesty of the University of Newcastle, so perhaps little details like accuracy and evidence are old fashioned social constructs and can be dispensed with by the illuminati.

His other target is a group called Sense about Science, which is apparently a "deficit fringe group". I'm not sure what that means, but I don't think it's meant to be nice. Dr W thinks that the Funding Councils shouldn't have supported such nonsense. I'm sure he's right. The money would surely have been much better spent on making universities "more welcoming and accessible" via Dr W's Beacon for Public Engagement. (Perhaps they could let the public into the student bars?) Actually, Sense about Science appears to be doing something similar to what Dr W is doing with his Beacon, but they seem to have reached different conclusions on the wisdom of GM. In fact I wonder if Dr W's article is just an exercise in Beacon-waving for the benefit of the Funding Councils - "fund me, not them!".

But anyway, who do you think is the fringe here? The panel of scientists? Or the man who doesn't check his sources, and who thinks that organic farms and smallholdings are the way forward for agriculture? 

Hard call, isn't it? 

Tuesday
Apr292008

Ever-decreasing circles

Someone called Philip Inman is gracing the pages of Comment is Free, where he sets out his ideas for how to deal with the pensions timebomb.

You'd think that a simple recognition that the problem has been caused by Gordon Brown taxing people too heavily and spending the proceeds on bureaucrats and dole queues and generally throwing money to the four winds would be enough to lead a relatively intelligent person to the correct conclusions. Namely that we should stop throwing money to the four winds and stop taxing people so heavily.

Alas, Mr Inman is no such person. His solution:

The only hope lies in educating all workers about how poor their retirement will be and how they can push their employer and the government to provide more and on a more equal basis.

Yes folks, the answer to a problem caused by high taxes is more taxes.

Idiot. 

Sunday
Apr272008

Why do the LibDems think we should be in the EU?

A LibDem MEP called Chris Davies bemoans his colleagues decision to hide the EU Auditors' report on the Union's finances over on Comment is Free.

"Taxpayers could be forgiven for believing that there are more honest people to be found in prison than sit in the European parliament." This was my comment after MEPs voted on Tuesday by majorities of more than 2:1 to prevent publication of auditors' reports that reveal the flagrant misuse of public money by some.

All very commendable, I'm sure, particularly as Mr Davies appears to have put himself in the firing line by standing up in this way. It's probably just as well that he's an elected representative though. If he were a humble (or even a not-so-humble) eurocrat he would have found himself out on his ear long before this.

It's amazing how the political classes keep up their support for the EU in the face of every scandal, every destructive regulation, every cock-eyed directive that emerges from the doors of the EU edifice. I never understand how the LibDems can bring themselves to join the happy throng singing the praises of the supranational joys of rule from Brussels.

Whichever way you look at it, Brussels is delivering the opposite of liberalism. For the LibDems to support it makes no sense. Brussels gives us centralised government and big government. Really big. This is supersized government with extra fries and a stonking great tub of lard to dip them in. All served up in a gilded trough that will tickle the fancy of even the most discerning snout.

"But don't worry!", say the LibDems. "The EU will change. We are working to change it.They are coming round to our way of doing things."

And what about the corruption? As Mr Davies failed to point out, the EU auditors have now refused to sign off the Union's accounts for thirteen years on the trot. "Ah, but the corruption is taking place in member states", say the LibDems. "Don't worry, they'll change. We're working hard on it."

And the lunacy of EU governance. What about that? The Common Agricultural Policy, The Common Fisheries Policy, The Reach directive, The Biofuels Obligation? "Don't worry. They'll see things our way soon", say the LibDems. "There are new faces in European capitals. An opportunity is coming to change the EU for the better."

After all these years, and with what? nothing to show for the LibDems' persuasive powers at all? it all rings rather hollow, wouldn't you say?

Sunday
Apr202008

On this day...

Well, not on this day exactly, but roughly five years ago on 14th April 2003, David Milliband launched an all-out attack on red tape in schools:

The Government will continue its concerted attack on teacher workloads today, by launching the first-ever independent scrutiny unit made up of frontline teachers, to cut red tape and free schools of bureaucracy.

The Implementation Review Unit (IRU) is a key component of implementing the national workforce agreement and will tackle unnecessary paper work, assess workload implications and reduce bureaucratic processes. It shows the continued progress and delivery by signatories to reduce workloads and help teachers focus on improving pupil learning.

I wonder what they've been up to in the last five years? Let's take a peek at their website shall we? 

Oh look, there's a news section! That will tell us.

And the news is:

"No news items have been posted yet".

I wonder when they're going to actually, you know, do something useful? 

Wednesday
Apr162008

Ronald Reagan on big government

If it moves, tax it.......

2001: Banks threatened with windfall tax 

If it keeps moving, regulate it.

2007: The system of bank regulation introduced by Gordon Brown was yesterday branded an “invitation to disaster” even before the run on Northern Rock.

And if it stops moving, subsidize it.

2008: Government plans to help UK banks 

Wednesday
Apr162008

Al Gore's carbon footprint

is 

Huge

 

His itinerary goes like this:

May 4, 2008--Ohio
May 3, 2008--Philadelphia
April 15, 2008--Geneva
April 11, 2008--San Francisco
April 8, 2008--Iceland
April 5, 2008--Montreal
March 18, 2008--New York
March 15, 2008--India
March 12, 2008--Poland
March 11, 2008--Geneva
March 1, 2008--Monterey, California
February 14, 2008--New York City
January 31, 2008--Atlanta
January 24, 2008--Switzerland
January 19, 2008--Park City, Utah

More at Tom Nelson, who notes that Al Gore thinks you shouldn't be able to choose what kind of lightbulb you use at home.