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Thursday
Mar032011

The third-world ambition of the UK

Thanks to Phillip Bratby for this clipping from the Telegraph, which seems to encapsulate the UK's third world ambition (in Nicholas Hallam's memorable turn of phrase).

The talk of dwindling gas supplies is strange. Has Mr Holliday not heard of shale gas? Or does he know something we don't? It would be interesting if someone could get David MacKay's opinion on continuity of supply later today.

Wednesday
Mar022011

David MacKay live 

David MacKay, the chief scientist at DECC (the Department of Energy and Climate Change), is doing a live webchat at the Guardian tomorrow.

Wednesday
Mar022011

Will Philip Hammond apologise?

Much interest in the comments to the Johnny Ball thread, with reader "Mac" noting the claim of Transport Secretary Philip Hammond that offonshore wind generation does not require subsidy. This is, ahem, not exactly true, as the following excerpts from Hansard makes clear:

Onshore Wind Farms

7. Andrew Bridgen (North West Leicestershire) (Con): Whether historical wind measurements are taken into account in determining 'subsidy allocation for onshore wind farms'. [15500]

The Minister of State, Department of Energy and Climate Change (Charles Hendry): Onshore wind farms can claim one renewables obligation certificate (ROC) for each megawatt-hour of electricity actually generated, which focuses investment in those areas where the wind resource is strongest. It is therefore in the developers' direct interest to study very carefully the historical wind measurements.

Andrew Bridgen: As my hon. Friend is no doubt aware, Leicestershire is one of the most inland and least windy counties in England. Will he please assure me that 'subsidies for wind farms' will only be allocated in areas that can demonstrate that the amount of wind is sustainable and economically viable?

Charles Hendry: I can absolutely assure my hon. Friend that the way the ROC system works ensures that the 'greatest incentive' is there to develop wind projects where the wind resource is strongest. We are absolutely committed, too, to the principle of localism for those below 50 MW and for local communities to be directly involved in these decisions and to receive a more direct benefit than was the case under the previous Government.

It appears then, that Mr Hammond was 100%, ahem, mistaken. Will he apologise? Or even issue a correction? We're not holding our breath here.

Wednesday
Mar022011

US cold caused by warming

It looks as though they just couldn't resist the urge to link every known weather event to climate change. The Union of Concerned Scientists has apparently said that this winter's crazy weather in the USA was caused by global warming:

This winter's heavy snowfalls and other extreme storms could well be related to increased moisture in the air due to global climate change, a panel of scientists said on Tuesday.

This extra moisture is likely to bring on extraordinary flooding with the onset of spring in the Northern Hemisphere, as deep snowpack melts and expected heavy rains add to seasonal run-off, the scientists said in a telephone briefing.

Wednesday
Mar022011

Why code should be published

Nick Barnes has written an interesting article on why scientific code should be published, with particular reference to John Graham-Cumming's work on the Russell review code.

This report included a good algorithmic description, and has been accompanied by source code. We greatly welcome both of these departures from the norm, as setting a good example and following the report’s own recommendation. These facts also allow us to illustrate particular reasons why code release is important, and why science software skills should be improved.

The four separate bugs – in the description, in the code, in the configuration, and in the expectation of the reader – are, in this case, trivial and unimportant – they do not affect the broad results of the report in any way. However, each is characteristic of problems with science software which can be more serious, and which are impossible to discover unless code is released.

Wednesday
Mar022011

Tip jar again

Tip jar is live again. As always, thanks to them that contributes!

Wednesday
Mar022011

Johnny Ball

TV mathematician and AGW sceptic Johnny Ball is on the BBC's Daily Politics show today, discussing scaremongering.

Tuesday
Mar012011

The long death of environmentalism

A long, long article by Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus looking at where the green movement went wrong.

Yet today, environmental efforts to address climate change and build a green economy lie in ruins. The United States Congress this summer once again rejected climate legislation that even had it succeeded would have had virtually no impact upon U.S. carbon emissions over the coming decade. The magnitude and consequence of this defeat are poorly understood outside of Washington. Greens had the best opportunity in a generation -- a Democratic White House and large Democratic majorities in Congress. But they banked everything on a single bill and walked away with nothing -- or rather worse than nothing, since today environmental credibility with lawmakers of both parties is today at an all-time low.

Meanwhile, green stimulus investments ended up creating very few jobs. Those that it did create were low-wage and temporary custodial jobs -- not the high-wage manufacturing jobs that created the black middle-class after World War II. And today, the clean tech sector-- the darling of high tech VC's at the height of the green bubble-- is in a state of collapse as stimulus funds expire, large public deficits threaten clean energy subsidies both here and abroad, and Wall Street firms short clean tech stocks.

Tuesday
Mar012011

Econowoo

The Royal Society of Edinburgh has produced a report on how Scotland should move to a low-carbon economy. This seems to demonstrate that the spirit of Chairman Mao's `Great Leap Forward' is alive and well and living in Auld Reekie. Yes folks, the answer to all our problems is a plan to be developed in Holyrood.

Here are the report's recommendations:

1. The UK Government should urgently improve the infrastructure and management of the electricity grid in Scotland to optimise the development of renewable energy and to permit the export of surplus renewable energy.

Click to read more ...

Tuesday
Mar012011

Bob Carter in Quadrant

Bob Carter has an article up in Quadrant, which is worth a look:

Run that past me again, Professors Garnaut and Flannery – your advice to government still remains that human carbon dioxide emissions are causing dangerous global warming?

Do you understand the meaning of the phrases “empirical science” and “hypothesis testing”?

Do you understand that the correct null hypothesis is that gentle warmings, such as that which occurred between 1979 and 1998, and equivalent coolings, are to be viewed as due to natural causes unless and until evidence indicates otherwise. Gentlemen, where is that evidence, and why is it not presented in the voluminous reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that you and the government so often refer to?

Monday
Feb282011

Welcome back my friends...

...to the show that never ends. Yes, the story of Muir Russell's inquiry unfolds a little further, with David Holland digging a little further into the details of the financial arrangements for the inquiry. UEA look like they are going to end up in trouble with the ICO again. Full story at Climate Audit.

In the meantime, David Roberts of Grist looks at the various Climategate inquiries, including the Russell inquiry, and shows just how desperately ill-informed he is:

The U.K.'s Royal Society (its equivalent of the National Academies) ran an investigation that found "no evidence of any deliberate scientific malpractice."

No it didn't - the inquiry was run by UEA and the Royal Society merely helped find people who could be relied upon to come up with the right answer (we have the emails showing this, Mr Roberts) and then pretended that they had selected the papers chosen (we have the emails showing this too - but don't worry Mr Roberts, nobody expects you to do any investigation either).

The University of East Anglia appointed respected civil servant Sir Muir Russell

You're kidding, Mr Roberts, surely? Russell - the man who closed off the construction project on the Scottish Parliament building ten times over budget - respected?

to run an exhaustive, six-month independent inquiry;

He didn't even attend the interviews with the principals. He didn't interview any of the complainants?

he concluded that "the honesty and rigour of CRU as scientists are not in doubt ... We have not found any evidence of behaviour that might undermine the conclusions of the IPCC assessments."

That's because they didn't look for any!

Monday
Feb282011

Josh 82

Monday
Feb282011

Snow in Lahore

Snow has fallen in Lahore, apparently for the first time ever.

LAHORE: The city on Saturday received heavy rain and hailstorm measuring 4.5 millimetres, which carpeted several roads and sidewalks with snow sending a wave of cheerfulness among citizens.

The hailstorm, witnessed at isolated places in the city in the evening, was enjoyed by citizens especially children, who were seen forcing their parents to stop by footpaths to play with snow at Zafar Ali Road, Gulberg Main Boulevard and Davis Road.

There seems to be some doubt over whether it was snow or hail, but there are pictures of snowmen on the page linked. Comments under this video suggest that it was graupel, which seems to be something of a cross between the two.

Monday
Feb282011

Green jobs cost you more

Updated on Feb 28, 2011 by Registered CommenterBishop Hill

Updated on Feb 28, 2011 by Registered CommenterBishop Hill

As if any further evidence were required to demonstrate the point, the Scottish Government has received a report showing that their policies are costing us dearly.

Government support for the renewable sector in Scotland is costing more jobs than it creates, a report has claimed. A study by consultants Verso Economics found there was a negative impact from the policy to promote the industry. It said 3.7 jobs were lost for every one created in the UK as a whole and that political leaders needed to engage in "honest debate" about the issue.

Click to read more ...

Monday
Feb282011

Some correspondence with Freeman Dyson

Reader Dead Dog Bounce has had some correspondence with Freeman Dyson on the subject of his recent interview with Freeman Dyson. I am reproducing their correspondence with permission.

Dead Dog Bounce to Freeman Dyson

Dear Professor Dyson,

I read today your correspondence with the Science Editor of the Independent, Mr Steve Connor. What came across to me was that you seemed to have more to say than the nature of the discussion allowed or encouraged.  I realise that it is slightly impertinent for an interested lay-person like myself to write to a man of as much substance as yourself, but I have been following the discussions about AGW for some time, and feel that a huge opportunity presented by this correspondence appears to have been wasted.  I will of course understand if this email goes without response.

Click to read more ...