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Thursday
Apr012010

Der Spiegel

Blimey. Peter Webster's comments in the Der Spiegel article are quite something, aren't they?

While amateur climatologist McIntyre spent years begging in vain for the raw data, Webster eventually managed to convince Jones to send them to him. He is the only scientist to date who has been given access to the data. "To be honest, I'm shocked by the sloppy documentation," Webster told SPIEGEL.

Click to read more ...

Thursday
Apr012010

Russell review submissions

Sir Muir and his band of merry men have published some of the submissions they have received. Included among them is a letter I wrote to Sir Muir after the resignation of Philip Campbell, suggesting a way by which his panel could appoint a mutually acceptable replacement. I didn't received a reply to this, or to a subsequent email. It's rather odd to see it now listed as a submission to the panel.

 

Thursday
Apr012010

New Nature climate change journal

Nature is launching a new cross-disciplinary climate change journal.

Nature Climate Change will publish original research across the physical and social sciences on a monthly basis and will strive to forge and synthesize interdisciplinary research. As such, it will be the first Nature branded journal to publish peer-review content from the social sciences community.

I've left a comment asking if they are going to require authors to submit data and code with their manuscripts.

Wednesday
Mar312010

Keep on gatekeeping

Ross McKitrick shows plainly that, despite the furore over the emails and the frantic issuing of denials, mainstream climatologists, are still determined to keep sceptic views out of the literature.

This is the story of how I spent 2 years trying to publish a paper that refutes an important claim in the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The claim in question is not just wrong, but based on fabricated evidence. Showing that the claim is fabricated is easy: it suffices merely to quote the section of the report, since no supporting evidence is given. But unsupported guesses may turn out to be true. Showing the IPCC claim is also false took some mundane statistical work, but the results were clear. Once the numbers were crunched and the paper was written up, I began sending it to science journals. That is when the runaround began. Having published several against-the-flow papers in climatology journals I did not expect a smooth ride, but the process eventually became surreal.

This is simply astonishing stuff. Read the whole thing.

Wednesday
Mar312010

Live chat of statisticians

Statisticians are currently live discussing climate science here.

There is an accompanying AMS article here.

http://www.scribblelive.com/Event/Statisticians_Comment_on_Status_of_Climate_Change_Science
Wednesday
Mar312010

Quote of the day

Frank Furedi at Spiked

Investigations that are meant to serve as a ‘corrective’ to people’s misguided or immoral sentiments used to be called rituals. And that is what this the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee’s ‘limited inquiry’ was mostly about: a ritualised pseudo-investigation aimed at correcting people’s allegedly backward views.

 

Wednesday
Mar312010

BBC World Service

I will be on the BBC World Service at 14:05 today. The internet link is here.

I was rather nervous, and I don't think I came over very well, but I managed to get a couple of key messages over:

  • they've missed the point of the Nature trick
  • they should have interviewed McIntyre.
Wednesday
Mar312010

Fred Pearce

Fred Pearce has one of the more interesting responses to the Parliamentary report, picking up on some interesting omissions and contradictions in what our elected representatives had to say.

His points on the "Nature trick" are less informative though. He points to statements by Sarah Palin and Senator Inhofe on the subject and rightly points out that the idea that CRU were trying to hide the "fact" that temperatures are not rising is false.

Of course they weren't.

So. Now we have, yet again, disposed of this canard, can we get on to the real accusation, namely that Jones hid the decline from policymakers so as to make the proxy reconstruction of the Medieval Warm Period look more reliable than it actually is?

Fred?

Wednesday
Mar312010

Stephen who?

Has anybody noticed how little attention the committee gave to Steve McIntyre's evidence? I said at the time that their failure to invite him to give evidence smacked of not wanting to know the truth. In particular, SM's evidence put the Nature trick in clear perspective, but despite that the committee concluded there was no case to answer.

It looks as though my original surmise was correct.

Wednesday
Mar312010

The Parliamentary Report

I've now had a change to review the S&TSC report into Climategate, which is pretty much as expected. Here are a few thoughts. 

Was data deleted? - The committee report (12) Sir Edward Acton's reply to their letter, in which the UEA boss said that "none of the adjusted station data referred to in the emails that have been published has been destroyed".  Given that it was the raw data that everyone was after, it was disingenuous of Sir Edward to respond in this way and disingenuous of the committee not to report his evasion.

Click to read more ...

Tuesday
Mar302010

Comments

The comments threads have been getting somewhat out of hand here in the last few days. Could I ask everyone to avoid:

  • being provocative or dismissive of other commenters
  • making overlong comments
  • dominating conversations
  • using fallacy or other rhetorical devices.

Thanks.

 

Tuesday
Mar302010

VS

A note to everyone who was bashing away at each other on the Josh 14 thread, VS has added a comment to the end which may be of interest.

Tuesday
Mar302010

Brushes at the ready...

Updated on Mar 30, 2010 by Registered CommenterBishop Hill

The report of the Parliamentary Inquiry into Climategate is due in a few hours time, and I've just seen what looks like the first news report of the press conference today. The general theme seems to be:

  • breaking the FoI laws was naughty
  • apart from that please move along because there's nothing to see here.

Click to read more ...

Tuesday
Mar302010

It's Big Oil, stupid

John Vidal of the Guardian is getting all excited by a Greenpeace report linking sceptics to...Big Oil. The wicked capitalists in question are Koch Industries, "a little-known, privately owned US oil company" (which just happens to be the largest privately owned business in the world). Now that the truth about their corporate largesse has been revealed by the tireless efforts of Mr Vidal and his colleagues at Greenpeace, we can presumably ignore everything said by...

Click to read more ...

Tuesday
Mar302010

Sir John Lawton on AGW

The Chairman of the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution has just made some quite interesting comments in relation to the expected rate of warming. Speaking at the launch of a report into how the UK should adapt to possible climate change, he said:

The planet is already slightly above the worse case scenario so if we do nothing we could be looking at a temperature rise of 4C (7.3F) by 2100

Click to read more ...