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« Svensmark | Main | Lockwood and Svensmark »
Tuesday
May102011

Lockwood

Q2 Was Maunder minimum effect European. A: Probably stronger in Europe. 1863/4 was coldest. Two years later v warm. What is probability that we go into a minimum and co2 stops us starving.

Q1 Shapiro paper discussed. Not sure I understand this!

In warming world Europe could get cooler

Could have Maunder minimum conditions soon

Global responses to forcings from Lean and Rind - discussion of solar in Eurasia. Blocking events. \do these have solar dependence? 8% decrease when solar output high

Can explain with caveats warming in terms of el nino, co2 and other anthropogenic and solar

But changes in sun since 1985 don't match temp rise - in wrong direction

TSI not enough to explain observed warming

Lockwood says Svensmark's ideas are beautiful and clever but effect may be slow and limited to clean maritime air

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Reader Comments (2)

See my comment earlier re TSI.

May 10, 2011 at 11:56 AM | Unregistered CommenterPhillip Bratby

Yeah, limited to clean maritime air. That's a mere 70% of the earth's surface, so "It doesn't matter."
/sark*

* Cutty Sark

May 10, 2011 at 6:52 PM | Unregistered Commenterjorgekafkazar

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