More publicity for nonsense, from Matt McGrath:

Higher temperatures linked to EU asylum figures

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-42446085

"Sharp increases in the numbers of those seeking asylum in the European Union have been linked to higher temperatures in agricultural regions of the world.

Researchers found that when temperatures deviated from 20C in food growing areas of 103 countries, more people sought refuge abroad.

Around 660,000 extra applicants would be expected each year by 2100, the authors say, if current temperature trends continue.

The study appears in Science journal."

The next para from McGrath's piece says this:

"Between 2000 and 2014, around 350,000 people applied for asylum in the European Union every year. The majority came from countries such as Afghanistan and Iraq."

So the majority come from war-torn countries (where there is no evidence that the war stems from climate change) but it's climate change that's driving asylum applications....

And even the author admits to great uncertainty:

"However Prof Schlenker says that he was far less confident about the future impacts of rising temperatures and asylum numbers in the EU.

"We basically have to assume that the relationship we uncovered between 2000 and 2014 is going to remain unchanged for the next 80 years," he said.

"There are many reasons for why it could go either way. We could start adapting to warmer temperatures, so the impacts would be less, but if you shock people every year with the same thing, it could be much worse. We could be under or overestimating the effects.""

But still the BBC headline is alarmist.

Paul Homewood offers a debunk from Michael Bastach at the Daily Caller:

New Study Linking Global Warming To Refugees Is ‘Most Idiotic Use Of Statistics’ This Expert Has Seen In A Long Time

Via GWPF and interview with Henrik Svensmark with an explanation of his work in his own words. IMHOP worth a listen. https://soundcloud.com/gwpf/gwpf-podcast-004-david-whitehouse-henrik-svensmark-1