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« Why? | Main | Greenbacks »
Wednesday
Jul302014

Breaking the frame

Nic Lewis has published another paper on objective Bayesian approaches in climate sensitivity study. This looks at an old but very important paper by David Frame and Myles Allen, which implied the use of an objective approach, but actually turned out not to. Lewis's paper looks at two genuinely objective approaches to the problem and compares the essentially identical results they give to the clearly erroneous and inevitably much more alarming one obtained by Frame and Allen.

A very technical blog post on the subject is up at Climate Audit, and the paper is here.

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Reader Comments (6)

Suntanned and sluggish the body maybe, but I note the marbles have come back refreshed!

Luddites and breaking frames! Took me awhile but then I have not yet attained suntanned and sluggish!

Jul 31, 2014 at 12:18 AM | Registered CommenterGreen Sand

I think the Climatologists should try the old Roman method of examining the entrails of a bird.
It seems to me to be as accurate as anything else they've tried and at least the remains can be eaten.

Jul 31, 2014 at 4:52 AM | Unregistered CommenterGraeme No.3

A very technical blog post at Climate Audit...... Don't expect anything from ZBD then. You could scratch her technical AGW knowledge on the back of a sixpence with a crowbar.

Jul 31, 2014 at 9:00 AM | Registered CommenterGrantB

Good to see the Red Team doing their stuff

Jul 31, 2014 at 11:16 AM | Unregistered CommenterH2O: the miracle molecule

Good to see the Red Team doing their stuff

Jul 31, 2014 at 11:17 AM | Unregistered CommenterH2O: the miracle molecule

At first glance this looks like a very interesting paper. I’m increasingly of the opinion that in the same way as Al Capone was undone by tax accountants, climate alarmism will ultimately be undone by statisticians pulling it apart.

I’ve just written a blog post on it here:
http://jonathanabbott99.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/lies-damned-lies-and-hang-on/

Jul 31, 2014 at 12:54 PM | Unregistered CommenterJonathan Abbott

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