Bishop Hill Climate cuttings 28
Jul 14, 2009 Climate Climate Audit's research into Stefan Rahmstorf's smoothing technique continues. There has been a valiant defence of Rahmstorf from CSIRO's Nick Stokes, although it's hard to make substantive defences when your man has misrepresented what he did.
McIntyre also tells us that Rahmstorf's confidence interval calculations are "bogus", with an explanation to follow.
Global temperatures, as measured by satellite, were still low. The IPCC's global warming hypothesis of warming at 2oC per century is therefore still being falsified.
This hasn't put a stop to the nervousness among enthusiasts for AGW. Things just ain't hotting up enough. Cue a new paper which claims that warming will stop till 2020 and then resume again. Expect to hear a lot of this in coming months. Not everyone is impressed with this latest contribution to the scientific literature though.
The world slipped back into El Nino conditions, so we might expect things to warm up in coming months.
There was a wave of intensely cold weather in Peru. The BBC put it down to climate change.
Reader Comments (5)
http://www.onehundredmonths.org/
Taking this into account it seems they are also saying that climatastrophe is less likely. (At least until warming resumes and continues in earnest.) If this is so, then obviously no need for crippling economic measues. No need to panic Major Mannering !
This would get ripped to bits even on wikipedia.
I wonder why the experts waited until July before they forecast the bad weather in March ?
I see that Piers Corbyn correctly forecast the rainstorm that flooded several tube stations on July 7th...
"In a now discredited (and disowned) Rahmstorf et al 2007 publication, Steve McIntyre showed that Rahmstorf had pulled an elaborate stunt on the community by dressing up a simple triangular filter with “singular spectrum analysis” with “embedding dimensions”, I can now report another, perhaps even more spectacular stunt."