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Heathrow cancels 0ne Third of all flights tomorrow following MET office SNOW forecast............

Any bets?

Feb 4, 2012 at 3:34 PM | Unregistered CommenterPeter Walsh

Important new paper by Habibullo I. Abdussamatov, just published in Vol. 4, No. 1 of the APR journal (February 2012)

Concluding sentences are

'In the nearest future we will observe a transition (between global warming and global cooling) period of unstable climate changes with the global temperature fluctuating around its maximum value reached in 1998-2005.

After the maximum of solar cycle 24, from approximately 2014 we can expect the start of the next bicentennial cycle of deep cooling with a Little Ice Age in 2055±11.

Thus, long-term variations of TSI (with account for their direct and secondary, based on feedback effects, influence) are the main fundamental cause of climate changes since variations of the Earth climate is mainly determined by a long-term imbalance between the energy of solar radiation entering the upper layers of the Earth's atmosphere and the total energy emitted from the Earth back to space.'

Full pdf downloadable from

http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/apr.v4n1p178

Feb 4, 2012 at 2:05 PM | Unregistered CommenterPharos

James P - Feck all blog - yes, if only I had the time...

Justin Ert - "...the Alfred Wegener study confirms earlier predictions from computer models... forecast colder winters... as a result of melting sea ice."

Interesting. I do agree that loss of sea ice will lead to more rapid cooling - an open ocean will lose much more heat more quickly than when it is insulated by ice and snow. But this is a negative feedback, which I as far as I know the models have not factored in or taken account of. They are simply making it up as it goes along. Unlike Bob Tisdale, Tallbloke and Stephen Wilde who are at least trying to think about it rationally. It is not simple though, Antarctic sea ice area remained above the 30 year average, and from anecdotal evidence they southern hemisphere have also had cold winters and summers in recent years. Which suggests there's merit in the Shaviv~Svensmark thesis also.

Feb 4, 2012 at 12:50 PM | Unregistered Commenterlapogus

lapogus

"Feck all to do with CO2"

That would be a great title for a new blog!

Feb 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM | Unregistered CommenterJames P

"the models predicted cooling"

There must be one somewhere that did - now where did I put that data..?

Feb 4, 2012 at 11:43 AM | Unregistered CommenterJames P

From the you-couldn't-make-it-up-and-snow-is-a-thing-of-the-past brigade at the [In]Dependent:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/science-behind-the-big-freeze-is-climate-change-bringing-the-arctic-to-europe-6358928.html
The money quote from potty Potsdam professor Stefan Rahmstorf:

"The current weather pattern fits earlier predictions of computer models for how the atmosphere responds to the loss of sea ice due to global warming".

Ah, so the models predicted cooling...
"...the Alfred Wegener study confirms earlier predictions from computer models... forecast colder winters... as a result of melting sea ice."

I love it. It's just this type of counter-intuitive logic that sets climate scientists apart in the communication stakes...

Feb 4, 2012 at 11:28 AM | Unregistered CommenterJustin Ert

boog = book ;(

James is quite restrained:

this is the important bit, 1st sentence of quote, imho

If you read the private emails of the Climategate scientists, what you discover is that most of them genuinely believe in the climate change peril.

That’s why they lied about the evidence and why they tried to destroy the careers of those scientists who disagreed with them: because they wanted to scare politicians into action before time ran out. This was not science, in other words, but political activism.

A similar ‘end justifies the means’ mentality seems to prevail among all those environmental lobby groups. They don’t exaggerate or misrepresent because they’re bad people. They do it, as a former head of Greenpeace once charmingly put it when accused of having overstated the decline in Arctic sea ice, to ‘emotionalise the issue’; because they want to make the rest of the world care about these issues as much as they do.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2096277/How-green-zealots-destroying-planet.html#ixzz1lOktn3g8

Feb 4, 2012 at 8:05 AM | Unregistered CommenterBarry Woods

Interesting Times - While I don't like the word 'watermelons' as it can be thrown around to generalise people, like 'deniers' alarmists, flatearthers, or cranks.

It is a provocative title for a boog... as I can hardly talk about titles (ie realclimategate is provocative and offensive to some)

Good to see James Delingpole in the Daily Mail

Daily Mail - How green zealots are destroying the planet:
The provocative claim from a writer vilified for denying global warming

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2096277/How-green-zealots-destroying-planet.html#ixzz1lOjp1xvr

Feb 4, 2012 at 8:01 AM | Unregistered CommenterBarry Woods

James P - they forecast -2C for us last night and it was -8C. But the night before they said -6 and it was -2C. Guess what? There was thin cloud the night before and no cloud last night. Feck all to do with CO2...

Feb 3, 2012 at 10:22 PM | Unregistered Commenterlapogus

Met Office forecast for my neck of the woods (Isle of Wight) tonight is -2C minimum. It is now -5.5C and falling. Time to drop the warmist agenda..?

Feb 3, 2012 at 9:41 PM | Unregistered CommenterJames P

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