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Discussion > Brexit, Doom ..... or Boom ?

Brexit, Doom ..... or Boom ?
Leaving the EU common market .... or closed market ?

Filll your boots ..have a discussion.

Aug 25, 2018 at 9:14 AM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Perhaps we should leave predicting the unpredictable to the climate “scientists”.

However… The probabilities of it being boom far outweigh the probabilities of it being doom. That said, there are rather a lot of influential people who have a vested interest in it being doom – all of whom will have their own boom-time from our doom, so there might be a strong chance of any boom being overturned. Of course, the doomers may prove to be as effective in their influence as the AGW alarmists, so the boom might happen, anyway.

Aug 25, 2018 at 4:58 PM | Registered CommenterRadical Rodent

Well.... new research shows "it's worse then we thought" - or something like that.

Aug 25, 2018 at 5:57 PM | Registered Commentertomo

Which it is is in our hands. The power to do much better is available to us only out of the EU, but the power to mess it up persists no matter what. Brexit is not going to be a free ride. But nor is staying in because the EU will continue to be run according to the interests of others.

Aug 25, 2018 at 9:37 PM | Unregistered CommenterRhoda Klapp

Over in unthreaded someone was talking about the #ProjectFear2 items on the BBC
They appeared to believe them.
To me BBC is like a drunk in a pub , banging on with certainty about things they know nothing about
The more you watch BBC national news, the more disinformed you are.

Paradoxically our local news presenter is not bad, he jut sighs when he's forced to do an anti-Brexit item, cos he knows he'll be reading out lots of complaint letters later.

Aug 25, 2018 at 10:15 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Aug 25, 2018 at 5:05 PM | Supertroll
\\ News item on Look East earlier this week. Building work on AstraZenica's new research building on University of Cambridge campus delays opening until 2019. Should have been occupied in 2017. Coincidence? //
As if to imply Brexit is the cause

Well the newspaper says
\\ but this has been delayed for another 12 months as engineers address problems with the roof and a water egress in the basement caused by a high water table.//
\\ Set to cost more than £500 million, the building, which was originally due to open in the third quarter of 2017, will be the company's global headquarters and house 2,000 employees.//

~ Using fancy sawtooth roofs are great for heating lighting energy consumption etc but get them wrong and they leak and leak and leak and leak and that's one BIG arsed roof to get wrong ~

Aug 25, 2018 at 10:43 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Actually SG the explanation suggested was that the whole building industry was "overheated" in 2016-7 causing the whole completion date to slip.
[Did you not notice the little ol' question mark after the word coincidence?]

Aug 25, 2018 at 10:57 PM | Unregistered CommenterSupertroll

I have no further comment on that topic.

Aug 26, 2018 at 2:17 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Another map...

This one of the most popular brand logos across "Europe"

from Brandwatch.

Aug 26, 2018 at 3:16 PM | Registered Commentertomo

Yeh yeh a survey says X is the top brand within a country
That just lacks contet to tell you anything
eg Adidas might get 31% support in one country and come top
..and in the next country come second with 41% and so not even feature on the map.

Another recent dumb survey
"York is Britain's most popular city"

The question was do you like this city ?
9% chose to tick the box saying they don't like York
11% chose same with Bath
... 43% chose to tick the box saying they don't like Bradford it came bottom
Same survey included Lichfield and St David's, Britain's smallest cities.

But when it comes to visiting places, York is quite small, so it's attractions don't feature in the UK most visited, topped by Tower of London, Stonehenge, Bath etc

Aug 26, 2018 at 3:46 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

News from non-MSM sources like AltNewsMedia
The ‘No Deal Brexit’ Scaremongering Nonsense!

Aug 26, 2018 at 3:47 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

stewgreen - the map

I thought their definition of Europe was curious - especially those bits tacked on to the east of Turkey.

The lack of sampling detail etc is standard adman nonsense - just clickbait.

pisspoor geography or aspirational empire?

Aug 26, 2018 at 4:16 PM | Registered Commentertomo

That map of"Europe"is weird. With the whole of Russia not considered part of Europe (why?) the eastern Baltic has lost its shape, and the coast of Norway looks strangely moth-eaten.

Aug 27, 2018 at 5:50 PM | Unregistered CommenterSupertroll

@Tomo that Brandwatch map
..well Georgians conside themselves part of Europe as they draw the line as west of the Ural Mountains

Dec 16, 2018 at 9:46 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

The YellowVestUK protests
@Pcar Flippin heck !
The Yellow vests go into the street and stand silent
at minute 7:23 she hits the button and an amazing David Cameron speech starts
.. He clearly states "It will be your decision"
"There will be NO second referendum".. 'no fudge' etc
Why the heck haven't the media being referring to this speech ??
It knocks out all of the loony things that people are trying to push : The Peoples Vote idea, May's fudge etc.

The YellowVest Channel says they've had protests in Birmingham and Ireland also

Dec 16, 2018 at 9:54 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Ah I found that Cameron video
"Your decision, not politicians, not parliament, not lobby groups. Your voice will be respected not ignored."
also see the salient point of the Government Pro Remain leaflet

Express : In the old footage, he said:

“You will have to judge what is best for you and your family, for your children and grandchildren, for our country, for our future.
“It will be your decision whether to remain in the EU on the basis of the reforms we secure, or whether we leave.
“Your decision. Nobody else’s.
Not politicians’,
not Parliament’s.
Not lobby groups’.
Not mine.
Just you. You, the British people, will decide.

“At that moment, you will hold this country’s destiny in your hands. This is a huge decision for our country, perhaps the biggest we will make in our lifetimes. And it will be the final decision.

“So to those who suggest that a decision in the referendum to leave would merely produce another stronger renegotiation and then a second referendum in which Britain would stay, I say think again."
“The renegotiation is happening right now. And the referendum that follows will be a once in a generation choice. An in or out referendum.

“When the British people speak, their voice will be respected, not ignored. If we vote to leave, then we will leave.
There will not be another renegotiation and another referendum.

I believe Mrs May found some typos in Cameron’s speech
“This is NOT your decision,
BUT RATHER Not politicians , Not parliaments, AND Not lobby groups’ , Not mine & THE PM’s,
Just you the British people will NOT decide,
when the British people speak their voice, it will NOT be respected BUT RATHER JUST not ignored”

Dec 16, 2018 at 10:11 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Assuming Brexit actually happens (I still have my doubts) I don't think it will be boom or bust. I think there will be short/mid-term problems but that over a longer horizon things will balance out, in all probability. I'm not expecting a transition to sunlit uplands any time soon.

However, I don't think most of the Project Fear projections will come to pass either. There will be some problems, undoubtedly, but nothing insurmountable.

For me, though, as I suspect for many Brexit voters, it isn't about money, but about not being beholden to an unelected bureaucracy with an agenda for greater integration and a federal United States of Europe. I'm a democrat. I believe in being able to vote out the powers-that-be if I and a sufficient number of my fellow electors decide we've had enough of the current bunch of clowns and wish to replace them with a different bunch of clowns.

I'm only being half-facetious when I say that. For me, if we do manage to leave, one of the big gains I hope to see is the development of a new generation of UK politicians and civil servants actually able to get on with things instead of just doing what the EU tells them. If we don't achieve that soon, it may be too late.

Dec 18, 2018 at 7:02 PM | Unregistered CommenterMark Hodgson

Sunlit uplands comin' up, up ahead, lit up by the lights of the shining city up on the hill, or maybe it was the sun, upon the lands, up.

Dec 21, 2018 at 7:04 PM | Unregistered Commenterkim

Up, up, up, there's a way,
Up, up, up, up; yet today.

Dec 21, 2018 at 7:05 PM | Unregistered Commenterkim

Passing proper #Brexit through parliament was always going to be difficult,
cos the EU has more representatives in the British parliament
... than the British people have.

Jan 17, 2019 at 3:52 PM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Yeh, so what ?
polls mean little
Probably right before the election the lib-establishment machine will try to pull something
..Like some of their planted Brexit Party people will stage a bust up.
..And/Or the lib-establishment will release some secret dossier on a candidate
.. that proves he/she is a paedophile etc.

.. And they’ll milk anything like a Jo Cox event for all it’s worth.
.. They play by dirty Alinsky rules.

See Sunday's BiasedBBC discussion page 2
..on this topic ... and Marr massively helping Farage cement support,
by coming with a list of old gotcha questions
A car crash for Marr

watch the full 16 min video

May 13, 2019 at 1:03 AM | Registered Commenterstewgreen

Mark Hodgson +1 and my early impression of those signing up as The Brexit Party EU candidates is hopeful.

Long way to go though in terms of getting to be a functioning UK party capable of formulating, agreeing and delivering effective policy across multiple policy fronts. I hope that the BP will attract and keep more candidates with real world skills and knowledge who can work together on more than just the Brexit agenda. Perhaps there also will be more Ann Widdecombe style switching of allegiance which could bring political experience and skills too?

And I wonder if Nigel Farage is up for leading on the bigger challenge of actually governing the UK rather than achieving just the first step of severance from the EU? Is he in for the long haul or will he step aside leaving a vacuum once (if) he achieves his primary goal?

May 13, 2019 at 10:18 AM | Unregistered Commenternot banned yet

I ran a despatch dept for a company that exported 50% of its product for a number of years, the difference between exporting to the EU and the ROW added about 10 mins of a clerk's time on a computer and the odd forest of paper. The EU has common rules so 6 copies of invoice, no VAT and off it went, to the others such as USA it varies, different number of invoice copies and extra certifications like declaration of country of origin and a pack for export and import customs. The rules are all known and easily worked to, do it once and then repeat, just the odd change per year like the requirement for fumigation of wooden pallets sorted by buying from approved sources.

Its not rocket science, its just dealing with Bureaucrats, you just need to follow the current rules that all the other non EU countries follow today.

China uses the import duties it collects to promote exports by grants to various industries it seeks to promote, as a net importer the UK could easily use its new import duties to help all the current exporters plus some.

May 13, 2019 at 10:52 AM | Unregistered CommenterMuppets are us

May 13, 2019 at 10:18 AM | not banned yet
Conservative MPs will be electing a new Prime Minister after the European Elections. Farage won't be an MP, but could be elevated to the Lords by our new PM and brought into Cabinet with his own choice of Civil Servants to make BREXIT a success

May 13, 2019 at 12:38 PM | Unregistered Commentergolf charlie

Of course if your Ministers, MP's and Civil servants have not got the clue that being out of the EU means you do not need to follow everything they do what is the point.

The Department for Business, Energy, and Industrial Strategy this month released its proposals for “a UK Emissions Trading System” after Brexit. Currently the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme covers over 1,000 installations in UK, including steel, cement, and power stations. Greg Clarke has had other ideas. His BEIS department has proposed that a UK Scheme should ‘link’ to the EU system, pegging it to the EU price and therefore giving the EU Commission power to raise household energy and construction prices in the UK even after we’ve left.

May 13, 2019 at 2:13 PM | Unregistered CommenterMuppets are us