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Monday
Apr262010

A good trick to create a decline

Shortly after the Climategate emails broke, an guest article was posted at Climate Audit. The article is important, but was rather overlooked by the sceptic community in all the excitement over the emails. “The Hockey Stick and the Milankovitch Cycle” uses some of the Climategate files to solve one of the remaining mysteries of the Hockey Stick. 

This is my attempt to put the post into layman's language. It's rather long so you may want a cup of coffee to keep you company.

Read it at the link below.

 

A good trick to create a decline

Monday
Apr262010

Hubert Lamb on ice ages

More from the archives: this is a clipping from the Deseret News of Salt Lake City - the edition of 8th September 1972. It carries details of an interview with Hubert Lamb, the founder of the Climatic Research Unit, in which the great man discusses the impending ice age.

Click to read more ...

Sunday
Apr252010

IPCC in trouble again

Donna Laframboise has discovered that the IPCC cited the Stern report no less than 26 times, even though the report had missed the cut off date for inclusion by some distance. In fact pretty much every rule in the book seems to have been trampled in the IPCC's haste to get Lord Stern's parvum opus included.

The conclusion here isn't pretty: by citing the Stern Review, the IPPC broke not one, not two, but three of its own rules. First, it had to deliberately overlook the fact that this document is not peer-reviewed...

Second, it had to violate the published-before-January-2006 rule about which Pachauri recently reminded us.

Third, it had to subvert its own requirement that text in the IPCC report be subject to two rounds of expert review.

Are we impressed yet?

The IPCC might have been breathing easy after the lack of any new 'gates for them to be criticised over. Looks like there may be a whole new wave of criticism coming.

Sunday
Apr252010

John Maddox on AGW

Via a reader, these comments on global warming from John Maddox, the legendary editor of Nature. They're taken from his 1972 book, The Doomsday Syndrome, which cast a sceptical eye over some apocalyptic predictions.

I wonder what he would have made of the way his journal operates nowadays?

 

Sunday
Apr252010

The Hockey Stick and the Madoff case

Hot on the heels of his review of The Hockey Stick Illusion, Seth Roberts looks at the parallels between the story and that of the Madoff case.

Sunday
Apr252010

Green jobs scandal coming

Icecap is reporting that there is going to be a major ethics scandal breaking on Monday. Apparently someone in the Obama administration has a major conflict of interest regarding green jobs and the stimulus. There are links to Al Gore it seems.

Sunday
Apr252010

Falck Renewables and the mafia

Remember Falck Renewables, the Italian company whose UK arm was headed up by Lord Oxburgh? Observers wondered if the chairman of a green energy company wasn't quite the right choice for the head of the investigation into CRU.

Tom Fuller has been doing some research into the company and has discovered that the Italian side of the business seems to have been implicated in a mafia investigation.

Read the whole thing.

 

Sunday
Apr252010

Josh 20

Saturday
Apr242010

A nice review

Bret Swanson, who is the head of a company called Entropy Economics, has written a very nice review of the Hockey Stick Illusion.

Saturday
Apr242010

BBC science coverage

An interesting programme on the BBC's science coverage, in which we learn that Richard Black and Roger Harrabin have been central to the push to sideline sceptic opinion.

Does this explain why they avoid reporting the facts over Climategate and its associated inquiries?

 

Friday
Apr232010

Josh 19

More cartoons by Josh here.

 

Friday
Apr232010

Fun and games at Wiki

There's lots of fun and games on the discussion page for the Hockey Stick Illusion at Wiki.

Friday
Apr232010

Interview with Judith Curry

There is an interview with Judith Curry at Keith Kloor's place. Well worth a read.

Also, Judy's colleague Peter Webster has been commenting on the Academy heads thread on the subject of Bangladesh.

 

Friday
Apr232010

Airtime in the USA

Yesterday I did a long live interview for the Dennis Prager show, a syndicated radio programme broadcast from California. I think there is a podcast available. It seemed to go OK although as a sales pitch for my book I could have performed better. Dennis was kind enough to plug it several times.

Also a friendly review from Seth Roberts, who is Professor of Psychology at Qinghua University in Beijing and a successful blogger too.

If only I had a US publisher to enable me to take advantage!

Thursday
Apr222010

Lindzen on the academy heads

Richard Lindzen points out some of the problems with the recent letter to the FT by Ralph Ciccerone and Martin Rees:

Consider a letter of April 9 to the Financial Times by the presidents of the U.S. National Academy of Science and the Royal Society (Ralph Cicerone and Martin Rees, respectively). It acknowledges that climategate has contributed to a reduced concern among the public, as has unusually cold weather. But Messrs. Cicerone and Rees insist that nothing has happened to alter the rather extreme statement that climate is changing and it is due to human action. They then throw in a very peculiar statement (referring to warming), almost in passing: “Uncertainties in the future rate of this rise, stemming largely from the ‘feedback’ effects on water vapour and clouds, are topics of current research.”

Who would guess, from this statement, that the feedback effects are the crucial question? Without these positive feedbacks assumed by computer modelers, there would be no significant problem, and the various catastrophes that depend on numerous factors would no longer be related to anthropogenic global warming.