Richard Black, whom you might recall from the obscure BBC past, has recently (24.7.2015) tweeted that Simon Sharpe, head of the FCO Climate Risk Department, has suggested that the risk of a seven degree warming by 2200 is now more than 50% under "business as usual".
A conclusion made in good time for Paris, then. Any advance on seven degrees, what am I bid?
Black also asks the question: "Can the UK run on 100% renewables with no baseload power. Maybe it could..."
TM
Update: 8.27am corrected figures typo.