Wet, wet, wet
Apr 30, 2014
Bishop Hill in Climate: WG2

The Guardian is reporting claims that extreme rainfall events are becoming more likely in the UK:

Climate change caused by humans has made the likelihood of extreme rainfall similar to that seen in England this winter significantly higher, according to analysis seen by the Guardian.

Rainfall events that would previously have occurred only once in a century are now likely to be witnessed once every eighty years in the south of England, the Oxford University work shows.

This is a very frustrating article as there is no link to a paper. It's therefore hard to tell exactly what has been done to arrive at this conclusion. In fact it's not entirely clear whether there is a paper backing up these claims - it may be that there is only a press release.

But we should only note that the apparent contradiction with reports a few years ago that the drought risk in the south of England was similar to that in the Sahara.

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