Not waving but drowning
Dec 20, 2012
Bishop Hill in Climate: sensitivity

The Climate Science Rapid Rebuttal Unit has finally issued its response to the Climate Sensitivity is Low articles - or at least to Matt Ridley's Op-Ed. Nic Lewis's article barely gets a mention. 

At first glance, they are struggling to keep their heads above water.

[Updated to direct link to main site rather than mobile version]



Update on Dec 20, 2012 by Registered CommenterBishop Hill

From Nic Lewis's article:

Table 8.7 shows that the best estimate for total aerosol RF (RFari+aci) has fallen from −1.2 W/m² to −0.7 W/m² since AR4, largely due to a reduction in RFaci, the uncertainty band for which has also been hugely reduced. It gives a higher figure, −0.9 W/m², for AFari+aci. However, −0.9 W/m² is not what the observations indicate: it is a composite of observational, GCM-simulation/aerosol model derived, and inverse estimates.

From the Media Matters article.

With regard to aerosols: Abraham told Media Matters: "it is very clear [they] have a cooling impact," adding, "I don't know of any reputable scientist that would dispute that." Boston University's Robert Kaufmann, lead author of a 2011 sulfur emissions study, agreed:

I know of no evidence that would suggest that the temperature effect of sulfur emissions are small.  This conclusion is totally at odds with my peer reviewed publication in the area, which indicate that sulfur emissions have a significant effect on temperature.

Update on Dec 20, 2012 by Registered CommenterBishop Hill

It's now up on Think Progress. No mention of Lewis.

Stranger and stranger.

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