Jones: post 1995 warming "significant"
Jun 10, 2011
Bishop Hill in Climate: Jones, Climate: Surface

Phil Jones has announced that post-1995 warming is now "significant", with new data changing the picture he had previously reported to Roger Harrabin. The news comes via Richard Black, in one of those "we don't want anyone disputing this, so we've switched commenting off" articles.

By widespread convention, scientists use a minimum threshold of 95% to assess whether a trend is likely to be down to an underlying cause, rather than emerging by chance.

If a trend meets the 95% threshold, it basically means that the odds of it being down to chance are less than one in 20.

Last year's analysis, which went to 2009, did not reach this threshold; but adding data for 2010 takes it over the line.

I wonder what he makes of the Koutsoyiannis paper then?

Article originally appeared on (http://www.bishop-hill.net/).
See website for complete article licensing information.