The Chairman of the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution has just made some quite interesting comments in relation to the expected rate of warming. Speaking at the launch of a report into how the UK should adapt to possible climate change, he said:
The planet is already slightly above the worse case scenario so if we do nothing we could be looking at a temperature rise of 4C (7.3F) by 2100
When you look at the report, it's clear that by "above the worse [sic] case scenario" he is referring to carbon dioxide emissions. However it's an interesting position to state that we are going to hit 4 degrees of warming by 2100. If we equate that to 4C per century, then it's fairly clear that the models are far, far out in falsification territory. As Lucia is fond of pointing out, they are meandering around the brink of being falsified at 2C/century.
The Royal Commission includes among its members Prof Peter Liss, the acting director of CRU. You would have thought such an eminent climatologist would have pointed out the problems with making such wild statements to the press. They never seem to learn.